31 August 2016

August 2016 Portfolio Update

Stock NameNo of SharesCurrent PriceCurrent Value
DBS 600$14.990$8,994
Keppel Corp1000$5.180$5,180
Frasers Centrepoint Limited 2000$1.510$3,020
Cash

$3,300
Total Value

$20,494

I had divested Accordia Golf Trust after Reuters reported MBK Partners scraps plan to buy Japan's Accordia Golf Co Ltd for about $1.6 billion. I had made a profit together with dividend collected of 16.4% for holding onto Accordia for 10 months. Accordia Golf Trust is a very good investment for income. I will be revisit them again if the price is right for re-entry.

I had been accumulating DBS actively since the Swiber news last month. They are now trading at a very good price for both growth and income. I will be either adding another 200 shares if the price goes down below $14.80 or I will be adding more shares on Keppel Corp to bring down my average price. The price now is also very attractive to accumulate again. Let's see how it goes the next few trading days on both DBS and Keppel Corp.

12 August 2016

Accordia Golf Trust 1Q FY 16/17 DPU increased 3.4%

Accordia Golf Trust posted their 1Q FY 16/17 earning report in summary below
  • Available Distribution of 1.82 cents for 1Q FY 16/17
  • Operating profit of JPY 2,975 million and Total Distributable income available for distribution was JPY 1,526 million
  • Net Asset Value (NAV) rose to SGD $0.96 mainly due to Japanese Yen appreciation
  • Number of visitors to AGT's golf courses in 1Q FY 16/17 was 3.2% lower than the previous 1Q FY 15/16
Japan Economy Outlook
1. The number of golf plays in Japan is expected to continue as golf continues to be a healthy leisure activities for the seniors.
2. Year 2020 Tokyo Olympics is expected to increase popularity of golf in Japan including the younger generations.

Inbound tourism in Japan
1. Positive impact on demand for golf in the mid-to-long term.

Accordia Golf Trust has a very strong branding and is the largest golf operator in Japan. The operation team and management is very efficient in managing the golf course operation. Their strategy is to target middle class working people into playing golf in Accordia. They provide casual atmosphere with reasonable play fees. They had a large pool of loyal customers base that subscribed to their golf club membership.

This quarter result is not as good as the previous year due to heavy rains in June and also the earthquake in Kyushu. But however due to appreciation of Japanese Yen currency, the DPU increased by 3.4% helped to improve the returns for shareholders. With the Tokyo Olympics in Year 2020, I am sure the shareholders will be rewarded with the growth and stable income distribution by investing on them. The only downside for investing in golf business is, they are at the mercy of weather conditions.

11 August 2016

When is the good time to buy?



This is always a millionaire dollar question to answer when someone is to find out when is the good time to go into the stock market to buy. Different person will give you different answers and I summarise below on the answers that you may find.

  • 52 weeks low
  • 200-days Moving Average 
  • Trading below Net Asset Value (NAV)
  • Price-to-book value (P/B)

There is no right or wrong one to use any of the indicators I mentioned to trigger the buy call. It is just a gauge or tools whereby investor or analyst used when they think it is the good time to buy. Among this 4 indicators, which one do you think will give you the optimum result? For me, I am adopting the 52 weeks low and trading below NAV as my indicators for buy call. To use only one indicator, I feel that it is not enough to gauge. Another strategy I used is "Buy at prices you will not sell and Sell at prices you will not buy" - quote from AK.

06 August 2016

Is it better to stay on a job for years or job hopping?

This is one question I always ask myself whether which one is more beneficial in long terms if one would to stay on for a job for many years or job hopping every 2-3 years. Before we discuss on this topic, let us do a comparison on the Pros and Cons between these two.

Pros for staying a job for many years
Leadership or Competent - If you are competent and have good leadership skills, your boss will always give you the opportunities to lead the team to run a new project.
Seniority - If you stay at a company for the long haul, you will be more likely to rise in seniority, rather than having to start from scratch and fight to establish a stronger role in the company.
Stability - If you are constantly worrying about where you will be in the next year, it is very difficult to make long term plans. A little stability in your career or workplace can help you to cope more effectively with the stresses that are sure to happen in your life.
Flexibility - Most people who stay in a company for many years, progress through multiple challenging roles when they are in the company. They are typically trying many roles to help them to determine what they are most passionate on. They get to retain their status and benefits and also free to experiment new areas.

Cons for staying a job for many years
Taking for granted - When you are in the company for many years, you have the tendency to take things for granted. You think that you can set the rules and everyone had to follow suit which does not align the company's policies or directions.
Stagnant Increment - Your annual increment is not as great as you joined a new company. Your annual increment would probably be around 2-3% as compared to 10-20% if you choose to job hopped.
No more passionate - When things had became a routine, you no longer have any passionate in your work nor do you find any motivational drive in pushing yourself in the next career milestone.

Pros for job hopping
More money - When you job hop, you will always ask for a salary increment of 10-20%. You do not change a job if it is of the same as your current or lower unless you want a change in your job roles to undertake lower responsibility.
New environment - A change in new working environment entices you to be more motivated to learn new things and more passionate in contributing in the new company. It give you the opportunity to experience new company's culture and the way how the company run their businesses. You are expanding your network to a new pool of professionals.

Cons for job hopping
Employers will be hesitant to invest in you - When jumping from job to job, you are showing future employers that there is a high likelihood that you will do the same to them. By putting in the number of years working with them proves your loyalty as well as strengthening your job security. Loyalty goes a long way and from the employers perspective, it gives them the dependability that they can count on.
Your job maybe less secure - If your employer is forced to retrench staffs, you might be the first to go given your track record of job hopping.
Loss of seniority - When you joined a new company, you have to start afresh and build your career in the new company. Everything had to start from zero to build your way up in the corporate ladder.

I had been with my current company for coming to 2 years. A new startup and a new industry that the company is venturing with. It is always good to be a pioneer in a new startup with the company. You get to try everything under the sun and your words tend to be more heard than the juniors joining the company. A very good 2 years with the company and team bonding with fellow colleagues. But however, the company does not pay well in rewarding the staffs. A typical employee gets an annual increment of 2-3% and promotion will only come probably 3-4 years in your stay with the company. The increment for the promotion is only about 5-8%.

With the continuous rising standard of living in Singapore and inflation, the increment does not help to sustain the rising cost. The question to ask oneself is whether should we change a higher salary job to meet the inflation and also to increase our income to eventually be financial freedom. There are too many considerations one need to consider to stay put in the company or job hop. There is no right or wrong answer. Ultimately you have to ask yourself when you made this decision, are you comfortable with it?

To me, if I am a fresh graduate that just embarked in this new journey. I will focus on my areas of work and gain more experiences before I job hop. Then I can command better salary package with the number of years of experiences. If I am in the peak in my career, I would probably choose to stay put. Firstly, age is consideration when you choose to job hop. A company would not be keen to invest on you as you are already of certain experiences and you commanded a higher salary if the company employ you. Secondly, once you hit a certain amount of salary cap, the company will try to slow down your salary by giving you lower increment. In a way, they are favoritism in new graduates by giving them more increment. If old timer like you or me are not happy, the door is always open for you to move out.

A guideline below on what I think you should stay put or job hop based on your age. By looking at the table tells you the prime time to job hop is between 26 to 40 years old. Anyone above 40 years old, it is best that you stay put with the company for your own good. This is based on my opinion, readers may beg to differ.

AgeDecision
20-25Stay put
26-30Stay put / Job hop
31-35Stay put / Job hop
36-40Stay put / Job hop
41-45Stay put
46-50Stay put

05 August 2016

Frasers Centrepoint Limited 3Q FY 15/16 Result

Frasers Centrepoint Limited posted their 3Q FY 15/16 earning report in summary below.
  • Revenue declined to $682 million, 32.5% lower than the corresponding quarter a year ago
  • PBIT declined to $166.8 million, 46.8% lower than the corresponding quarter a year ago
  • Profit before tax declined to $68.2 million, 62.4% lower than the corresponding quarter a year ago
  • Profit after tax is $154 million, 15.1% lower than the corresponding quarter a year ago
The drop in revenue was mainly attributable to lower contributions from the group's development portfolio in Singapore, Australia and China. These declines were partially mitigated by the recognition of profits from the Twin Fountains (EC) project following its completion.

Property Development Key Highlights

FCL’s 80:20 joint venture with Keong Hong launched its 628 units Parc Life EC project in April 2016 at Sembawang with only 12.3% units sold. FCL is working towards the launch of a 19,310 sqm private condominium land parcel along Siglap Road in 2017. It is a 40:40:20 joint venture with Sekisui House and Keong Hong that can potentially yield around 800 to 900 apartment  units.

Commercial Property Key Highlights

Maiden profit contribution of $9.1 million and share of fair value gain from Waterway Point mall which was officially opened on 19 April 2016 and receives an average of 2.5 million visitors each month. The Asset Enhancement Initiatives (AEI) at the Centrepoint are expected to be completed by September 2016.

REIT Key Highlights

FCL listed the Frasers Logistics and Industrial Trust (FLT) on 21 June 2016 and got off to an upbeat start with more than 6 times of over subscription by institutional investors. It was the largest pure-play Australian Industrial REIT listed in Singapore with an initial portfolio of 51 Industrial and Logistic properties for about S$1.6 billion in asset. 

Looking ahead on the development front, transaction volumes in the Singapore residential property market continue to be low as prevailing property cooling measures remain in place. While the number of new private homes sold rose from 3,400 units in the first half of 2015 to 3,800 units in the first half of 2016, the residential property price index declined marginally in the quarter ended June 2016, marking an eleventh consecutive quarterly decline. While the Singapore residential market continues to face headwinds, Singapore remains as the Group's home market.

Although their 3Q result is very disappointing but my opinion on FCL is still very optimistic. They are the 3rd largest property developers in Singapore after CDL and Capitaland. They had been giving 8.6 cents of dividend per share for 2 years. If they are able to continue giving me good returns of 5% or more for income, I will be more than happy to be investing on them. Not forgetting about the growth of this company, it is now trading at approximately 30% discount to its NAV of $2.19 per share. If you are looking for stable dividend income with potential growth, this company should be able to fit your bill.